Title

Presentation

Operator: Good day and thank you for standing by and welcome to the Q3 2023 NCS Multistage Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today’s call, Mike Morrison, CFO. Please go ahead.

Mike Morrison: Thank you, Justin, and thank you for joining the NCS Multistage Third Quarter 2023 Conference Call. Our call today will be led by our CEO, Ryan Hummer, and I will also provide comments. I want to remind listeners that some of today’s comments include forward-looking statements such as comments regarding our future expectations for financial results and business operations. These statements, including our financial guidance and expectations are subject to many risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from any expectations expressed herein, including our ongoing litigation matters, inflation, central bank actions to combat inflation, distressed the US regional banks, the Canadian wildfires as well as the impact of the conflict in Ukraine and the Middle East on the global economy, oil and natural gas demand and our company.

Please refer to our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and our latest SEC filings for risk factors and cautions regarding forward-looking statements. Our comments today and in our earnings release also include non-GAAP financial measures including adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, free cash flow and net working capital. The underlying details and reconciliations on non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our third quarter earnings release which can be found on our website, ncsmultistage.com. I’ll now turn the call over to Ryan.

Ryan Hummer: Thank you, Mike, and welcome to our investors, analysts and employees joining our third quarter 2023 earnings conference call. Today’s call will be structured a bit differently. I’ll be framing my initial comments in alignment with the core strategies and guiding principles that embody our long-term corporate strategy and then Mike will review our financial performance later in the call. This was a very productive quarter for us in terms of advancing our strategy and positioning NCS to deliver value to our stakeholders, including our shareholders. As a reminder, the vision for NCS is to be globally recognized as a trusted partner and bold innovator, enabling our customers’ resource development strategies through technology-driven solutions and reliable expertise.

We have three core strategies that are supported by two guiding principles. I’ll walk through each and discuss how certain accomplishments during the quarter will enable long-term value creation. The first core strategy is to build upon our leading market positions. Examples of this include the strength of the NCS business across our product lines in Canada and the track record that we’ve established for our fracturing systems product line worldwide. In Canada, early in the third quarter, we installed over 1,000 sliding sleeves on a four-well Montney pad with one of our customers. These wells were successfully completed in a highly efficient manner and have exhibited strong initial production rates according to third-party data. At the beginning of the fourth quarter, we had another significant achievement with the same customer placing over 23 million pounds of sand across a lateral that extends more than two miles.

This well had 262 NCS sleeves installed and was completed in a single trip, further highlighting our operational efficiencies. This is only possible due to the quality of our sliding sleeves, the design of our robust service tools and the expert support provided by our field service technicians. In addition, a customer who has helped us to expand the limits of our fracturing systems technology and wells in the Montney is now applying learnings from those operations to reimagine their well completions in the [indiscernible] formation in the Mannville area. Drilling and completing two-mile laterals with approximately 150 sliding sleeves in an area that’s historically been completed with 50 or fewer stages. We continue to have success in securing trials and supporting customers that are using plug and perf completions in Canada as well.

We leveraged the testing capabilities of our Global Technology Center in Calgary to confirm the reliability of our PurpleSeal plugs to perform in casing with an internal coding designed to reduce downhole friction. Through product performance, local field and technical support and local testing capabilities, we believe we are now a top two frac plug provider in Canada. We have an internal goal to secure the leading market share in frac plugs in Canada, just as we have in sliding sleeves and Tracer Diagnostics. Further emphasizing our strategy to build upon our leading market position in fracturing systems, I have an update on a multiyear project we have underway with a leading international oil company to develop a version of our technology for use in deepwater offshore applications.

During August, we participated in a test spanning nearly two weeks, whereby our prototype sleeves and more importantly, our service tool components were able to successfully survive the placement of over 6 million pounds of ceramic proppant. Mimicking the conditions that we would expect to see during deepwater operations. Both we and our sponsor were pleased with the results of the testing. In addition to this test, the sponsor has also ordered sleeves from us for use in an onshore trial well in the US for the fourth quarter of 2023, which is a precursor to a future trial while offshore, which could be drilled in 2024. We’re very excited about the prospect of taking our fracturing systems technology, which has been proven in onshore and shallow water offshore environments into the deepwater offshore environment where we would operate from a floating rate.

The second core strategy that I’ll speak to is capitalizing on international and offshore opportunities. I’ll start in the North Sea, where in September, we successfully installed and began completion operations on a well for a leading E&P customer in Norway. The well had 10 stages and included two separate sleeve designs. We’re very optimistic about the opportunity we have with this customer going forward. In addition, we expect to be awarded fracturing systems work with three additional customers in the North Sea beginning in 2024, each of which has the potential to be a multi-well program. We’re actively working to bring additional product lines into the North Sea to capitalize on the opportunities generated from success with our fracturing systems business.

In the Middle East, we completed our first revenue-generating Tracer Diagnostics project for a leading national oil company in the region. The well was completed in July and reports were provided to the customer in August. With the success on this first well, we are in discussions for two additional projects, and we believe that this could become our largest market for Tracer Diagnostics outside of North America. Our final core strategy is to commercialize innovative solutions to complex customer challenges. This is a very successful and exciting quarter for us in that regard as well. Following extensive testing, we have qualified a new version of our AirLock Casing Buoyancy System that can be used in customer applications, applying high torque to the casing strength, enabled by semi-premium threats.

This product is currently being run in the field. We’ve also worked to expand the performance envelope of our AirLock G Casing Buoyancy System to accommodate higher pressures than competing systems, targeting up to 14,000 psi and higher temperatures, targeting up to 400 degrees fahrenheit which will give us what we believe to be the highest performance casing buoyancy system utilizing a glass barrier available on the market today. At Repeat Precision, we have several new products available for field trial. We’ve introduced a version of our PurpleSeal frac plug with a feature known as a Misrun Contingency Device. This feature integral to the plug can save the customer time and money in the event that perforating guns downhole did not fire and a new gun string needs to be deployed.

Repeat also has a dissolvable plug that we expect to be available for field trials during the fourth quarter. The design is optimized for downhole performance and has been pressure tested to 10,000 psi. The introduction of a high-performance dissolvable plug complements our composite plug offering at Repeat, providing consistent performance and a single provider for wells for customers that want to run dissolvable plugs in the toe of extended reach laterals. Finally, Repeat Precision has developed an internally oriented perforating gun system that was recently released for field trials. This new system allows for precise phasing of the perforating charges. We believe this system will be unique in the market by offering customers the plug-and-play system benefits of our modular purple fire perforating guns, which require minimal on-site assembly unlike many of the other oriented systems in the market.

With precise internal orientation and the ability for the customer to specify the shape charge they want to run. I’ll now speak to the two guiding principles that underpin our long-term strategy. The first is to maximize financial flexibility. Our financial model continues to be validated as we’ve maintained a net cash position with an undrawn revolver and generated higher adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin for the first nine months of 2023 than during the same period in 2022. During the quarter, NCS and our insurance carrier successfully settled one outstanding legal matter and we’ve made significant progress towards concluding another. We continue to expect that both matters will be settled within our insurance coverage limits with the settlements paid in full by our insurance carrier.

As part of the one finalized settlement, NCS collected $600,000 in unpaid invoices associated with unrelated wells that had been previously withheld by the plaintiffs. Our second guiding principle is to uphold the promise. The promise at NCS represents the commitments that we make as a company to our employees, customers, technology, vendors, quality, health, safety, the environment and other stakeholders. Our company values are also embedded in the promise. In further support of upholding the promise, we released our inaugural ESG report in September, titled the Promise in Action. The report is available on our website, and I encourage you to read it. We’re very pleased with how it came together and the Board and I appreciate the significant and broad-based contributions made by our employees as well as the valuable conversations that we had with our customers, suppliers, consultants and other stakeholders throughout the process.

The sun rising over a sprawling network of oil & gas pipelines near Midland, Texas.

You may have seen in our earnings release that we received an unfavorable ruling in the Federal Court of Canada in a patent infringement action. The decision resulted in certain of our patents being considered invalid and with NCS found to have infringed another company’s patent. First, I want to be clear that we disagree with the decision, and we were shocked by the results. We intend to appeal the decision and believe that applicable law supports strong grounds that may lead to a reversal of substantial portions of the decision. But more importantly, as it relates to our people and upholding the promise. I couldn’t be more pleased with the way that the team at NCS responded to the news with a tremendous collective effort from our engineering, product line, manufacturing and supply chain, sales, technical services and operations teams, we are able to quickly develop test and deploy a solution that complies with the decision in a manner that supported our customers’ needs during the current time of high field activity levels.

This is a testament to our outstanding people, the problem solving spirit rooted in innovation and the collective character of the team that supported one another to rise and face this unexpected adversity. I’m proud to have the opportunity to lead this exceptional team. In summary, I believe we’ve made very important and meaningful progress on our long-term strategic objectives over the past few months, which has positioned us for success, not just in the upcoming quarter or two, but for the years ahead. I’ll now pass the call back to Mike to discuss our results for the third quarter and guidance for the fourth quarter.

Mike Morrison: Thank you, Ryan. As reported in yesterday’s earnings release, our third quarter revenues were $38.3 million, a 22% decrease compared to last year’s third quarter. Our Canada revenues decreased by 19%, US revenues were down 30% and international revenues decreased by 18%. Our Canadian revenues were impacted by a declining rig count during the quarter, resulting from commodity price volatility and the continuing effect of the Canadian wildfires. Our sales in the US continued to be affected by lower natural gas prices which has had a negative impact on customer activity levels. On a sequential basis, revenues in the third quarter increased by 51%, with Canada up almost 100%, International, up by 26% and the US down by 15%.

The increase in Canada was primarily related to normal seasonality associated with the spring break-up in the second quarter, with crews getting back to work in the third quarter. Our gross profit, defined as total revenues less cost of sales, excluding depreciation and amortization expense was $15.7 million in the third quarter of 2023, representing a gross profit percentage of 41% to slightly below our gross profit percentage compared to one year ago. Despite a decline in revenues, we were able to maintain our gross profit percentage due to improved pricing of our products and services, which countered the effect of the decline in volumes and higher operational costs. Our revenues for the first nine months of 2023 were $107.2 million, a decline of 7% compared to the first nine months of 2022.

However, our gross margin percentage improved to 40% up from 38% compared to the same period one year ago. Selling, general and administrative costs were $12.7 million in the third quarter, down by $2.7 million compared to the third quarter of last year. The decrease was primarily due to lower annual incentive bonus accruals year-over-year and lowering our professional fees, partially offset by severance and stock-based compensation charges associated with the departure of an executive earlier in the third quarter. For the third quarter, we reported net income of $4.4 million or an earnings per diluted share of $1.77. This was an improvement over the net income of $3.9 million and earnings per diluted share of $1.58 one year ago. Our adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $6.8 million or an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18%, an improvement over our adjusted EBITDA margin of 17% one year ago.

For the first nine months of 2023, our adjusted EBITDA was $9.4 million, an improvement of $700,000 compared to the same period one year ago. Turning now to cash flow items and the balance sheet. During the third quarter, our cash flow from operations and free cash flow were uses of cash of approximately $400,000 and $900,000, respectively. We expect to generate positive free cash flow in the fourth quarter and expect our full year free cash flow after JV distributions to be modestly positive for the full year of 2023. On September 30th, we had $11.4 million in cash and total debt of $8.3 million, which consisted entirely of finance lease obligations, resulting in a positive net cash position of $3.1 million. At the end of September, the borrowing base availability under our undrawn ABL facility was $19.7 million.

Also during the third quarter, Repeat repaid all outstanding borrowings under their promissory notes. Now turning to a few points of guidance for the fourth quarter. We currently expect fourth quarter revenues of $37 million to $41 million, about the same level of revenue sequentially and as compared to the fourth quarter of last year bringing our full year revenues between $144 million to $148 million. We expect US revenues of $9 million to $10 million, international revenue of $2 million to $3 million and Canadian revenues of $26 million to $28 million. This represents a sequential increase in both the US and international. We expect our Canadian revenues to be equal to or slightly decline sequentially attributable to the typical holiday slowdown starting in mid-December.

We expect our gross margin percentage to be between 40% and 42%, consistent with our gross margin percentage this quarter into the fourth quarter of 2022. We expect our adjusted EBITDA to be between $4 million and $6 million bringing our full year expected adjusted EBITDA to a range of $13.5 million to $15.5 million. We expect our fourth quarter depreciation and amortization expense to be approximately $1.1 million. With that, I’ll hand it back over to Ryan.

Ryan Hummer: All right. Thanks, Mike. So before Q&A, I’ll close with a couple of brief comments. While the third quarter proved to be more challenging than expected commercially, we made significant progress during the quarter in alignment with our core strategies, especially on initiatives that we believe will enable us to execute on company-specific growth opportunities as our technology is commercialized and deployed in North American and international markets. Despite some challenging rig activity trends in 2023, we continue to believe that we are in a multiyear cycle of improved growth and earnings prospects for our industry globally. We appear to have reached the bottom of this recent correction with the rig count in the US holding steady over the last several weeks.

We expect modest growth in rig activity in the US in the fourth quarter with the potential for further growth from that base in 2024. Reflecting recent crude price, crude oil price increases and the need to add natural gas supply for demand coming from LNG facilities expected to come online late next year and into 2025. Similarly, in Canada, we believe industry activity will be supported in 2024 and beyond as the TMX oil pipeline expansion is brought online and as natural gas production ramps into the commissioning of the Coastal GasLink pipeline and Canada LNG facility. Through our continuous improvement efforts, we’re finding ways to be more efficient, which supports a gross margin percentage, moderates our SG&A spend and positions us for strong incremental profitability as we grow our revenues.

Finally, I’ll reiterate how much I appreciate the way that our people have once again proven how they can rise to the occasion in the face of uncertainty and challenges. And with that, we’ll welcome any questions.

See also 16 Best EV Stocks Under $50 and 13 Best 3D Printing Stocks To Invest In.

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And one moment for our first question. And our first question comes from John Daniel from Daniel Energy Partners. Your line is now open.

John Daniel: Thank you. Hey, Ryan, good morning.

Ryan Hummer: Hey, good morning, John.

John Daniel: So I’m going to ask a little bit of a rookie question here, but the thing that really intrigued me was your commentary on the product development for deepwater. Could you just take a step back and tell us sort of the evolution of how you got in deepwater sort of maybe. You might not want to quantify, but I’ll try like what it represents today and what this the new technology could mean, call it, three to five years from now, if we find ourselves in the long duration cycle, which a lot of talking heads are processing right now.

Ryan Hummer: Yes, John, so I’ll talk to that at a pretty high level and try to respond to as much of that as I can. Certainly, with our technology, we started call it, several years ago moving into shallow water offshore. We had some work with Maersk, which is now — those properties are now owned by Total several years ago developed a relationship with Aker BP in the Norwegian side of the North Sea and have continued to develop that portfolio. I think as part of that, certainly, we were able to garner some attention for the capabilities of our systems in those sorts of offshore environments, including some designs that we’re looking at that will really take a frac sleeve from something to just place prop into the well or do our shift frac close technology to something that can be truly a life of well production solution including, if you will, solids control capabilities within that same sort of frac systems chassis.

And we have one customer, an international oil company who had a vision for potentially taking our technology and using it. I’d say the initial application is targeted actually for – you’ve heard a few operators in the deep water Gulf of Mexico talking about the Paleogene now. So a target that’s a little bit deeper than traditional target and where our system could potentially be used as the lower completion system, you know, given our single trip capability, what we’re able to do with the service tool, which is able to actuate many more stages in a single run than typical offshore multi-zone single trip type systems that are out there. So that’s kind of the opportunity that our customer is chasing. Now the challenge for us is we’re moving from deploying our service tool off of either land or a fixed platform to a moving rig, right.

So it’s a pretty significant challenge and it’s been a multi-year development. But obviously, we had the test earlier this year, which proved out the robustness of the sleeves and the service components that’s migrating towards a land trial this year with the potential for sales next year. So I think it would be to the point where there could be a multi-well opportunity on an annual basis a few years down the road. And the other thing I’d say is that this customer, right, has other partners on those wells who are targeting some of the same applications, but anything in deepwater takes a little bit longer to develop and test and get out there. So we’re excited about the technology development. I think it will be a really good opportunity for us, but I think we just need to be a little bit patient with it as well.

John Daniel: Fair enough. And assuming that does materialize over time, is it safe to assume that like a new technology like this, if adopted and has some scale with you is a margin-enhancing product relative to the core offering or no?

Ryan Hummer: Yes, absolutely, John.

John Daniel: Okay. All right. That’s all I got. Sounds very interesting. Thank you for including me.

Ryan Hummer: Yeah, absolutely. Thanks.

Operator: And thank you. And one moment for our next question. And our next question comes from Dave Storms from Stonegate. Your line is open.

Dave Storms: Good morning.

Ryan Hummer: Good morning, Dave.

Dave Storms: So just great to see EBITDA is remaining strong despite the little tick down in revenues here. It looks like you’re kind of doing more with less. Can you kind of talk us through what’s driving that and if any of the stuff that you’ve implemented to be able to maintain those strong margins are sticky going forward.

Ryan Hummer: Yes. Absolutely, Dave. I’ll start on this, and I’ll let Mike chime in with anything that I miss. But I will say that, right, the team across the Board is dedicated to continuous improvement. In our second quarter, I think we noted some facility rationalizations that we had made, both with manufacturing in Mexico and then across our Tracer Diagnostics business. Those are certainly sticky. And then supply chain team that we have, part of a recent reorganization we had was putting our supply chain organization together with our technical services organization. And that started to bear fruit very quickly as well, where the combination of our supply chain is always thinking of ways to value engineer cost out of the way that we do business together with the tech services team who can interact with engineering and think about getting things rapidly prototyped and through field trial, I think, that’s something where we’re going to continue to chase ways to operate more efficiently and preserve and grow gross margin dollars.

There are some other changes that we’ve made across the organization to try to structure things to run a little bit more efficiently and a little bit more lean that really impact the SG&A side and help us to preserve the ability to achieve an adjusted EBITDA. This year through the first nine months, that’s consistent, a little bit better than last year despite the fact that revenue is off. So we’re working with the current market environment where the US rig count troughed maybe a little bit later than we thought it would, where the Canadian activity didn’t come out of breakup quite as strong as we had thought it would but we’ve been able to make sure that we continue to manage and measure costs in a way that we can preserve as much profitability as possible.

And we do think that is sticky to use your phrase, so that when we do pivot back to revenue growth, that will help us with strong incremental margins and help to grow the average margin as we grow the top line.

Mike Morrison: Yes. This is Mike. Great question. Nothing more really further to add other than just SG&A, Ryan, to hit up on that, but just continuing to focus on not growing that, how do we leverage it and how do we strategically reduce that where it makes sense. So that’s a long-term effort, and we’re seeing those benefits.

Dave Storms: That’s incredibly helpful. One more, if I could. You continue to gain traction in the Middle East, you continue to get a foothold there. Can you kind of talk about the bidding environment there may be in comparison to the Canadian market where you’re one of the top players already?

Ryan Hummer: Sure, Dave. So for the Middle East, right, each country is a little bit different where we’ve been focused over the last few years. You’ll have seen some of our commentary in our annual report, we’ve got a long-term contract in Oman for some Tracer Diagnostics work. We’re looking to leverage that to be able to deploy some additional product lines beyond Tracers through that contract. But where we’ve really made headway in the last year or so is with Saudi Aramco. And that is a long process to get qualified in what you call catalog there. And typically, it involves — you provide some equipment essentially for free in a free trial once the equipment works and proves out value proposition for the customer, then you’re invited to be part of a cataloging process where the various asset owners in the region can utilize your equipment, you’re effectively a qualified supplier and then in time, you may be selected to participate in multiyear tenders.

And we’re in that middle phase where we have multiple product lines that are cataloged and can be called off by the asset owners at Aramco, and that’s for our Tracer Diagnostics business and for a couple of product lines within well construction. And we continue to work every day to kind of grow that relationship and become part of or have the opportunity to participate in some of the multi-well tenders where you really spec-ed in. But for now, we’re happy with the progress we’ve made and the opportunity that we have, we can participate in revenue-generating projects right now and look to grow the business and look for those longer-term opportunities as they present themselves.

Dave Storms: That’s very helpful. Thank you for taking my questions and good luck in the fourth quarter.

Ryan Hummer: All right. Thank you, Dave.

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] I am showing no further questions. I would now like to turn the call back over to Ryan Hummer for closing remarks.

Ryan Hummer: All right. Thank you, Justin. Look, on behalf of our management team and our Board, we’d like to thank everyone who joined the call today, including our shareholders, analysts and especially our employees. I truly appreciate the depth and breadth of the expertise of our people at NCS and Repeat Precision and the passion and the effort that these people bring to their work. I look forward to talking to everyone, I guess, early next year.

Operator: And thank you. This concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.